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Monthly Review: The cost of needle coke is too high in August, market trading is weakening

Large  Small Date:2022-09-02
 ICC News: In August, the needle coke market was generally traded, and the downstream market sentiment did not adjust. Until the end of the month, the overall operating rate of the needle coke industry dropped about 30%, and some companies began to take the initiative to cut prices. Specifically, coal needle coke is 11,500-13,000 yuan/ton, oil needle coke is 12,500-14,000 yuan/ton, and coal and oil needle coke prices are 7,800-10,500 yuan/ton. In terms of import prices, coal needle coke is $1,700-1,800 dollars/ton in Japan and $1,650-1,700 dollars/ton in South Korea; for oil-based needle coke, Japan is $2,800-3,000 dollars/ton, and the UK is $2,000-2,200 dollars/ton. Anode coke price is 1500-1800 dollars/ton. Compared with the domestic calcined needle coke market, the demand for calcined needle coke in foreign markets was better in July. Monthly coal needle coke imports were 2,100 tons, oil needle coke imports were 6,514 tons, and oil needle coke exports were 8,740 tons. However, affected by the turbulent international situation and the poor overall economic situation in foreign countries, the operating rate of foreign electric furnaces has declined seriously, the consumption of graphite electrodes has dropped, and the demand for calcined needle coke by foreign graphite electrodes is not good, and it has declined sharply. Foreign needle coke enterprises currently have many product inventories, and prices may also be expected to decline, directly impacting domestic enterprises' needle coke exports in August.
 
In terms of enterprise dynamics, Liaocheng Zhonghe needle coke phase II 150,000-ton needle coke project plans to sign a contract this month, and the project construction period is expected to be two years. The leader of the carbon black industry, Heimao Co., Ltd., has begun to deploy the needle coke industry and plans to build a needle coke production line of 80,000 tons per year in two phases. Shandong Binhua Group, Mengjin District Advanced Manufacturing Development Zone, and Luoyang Guohong Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. signed a contract for an annual production of 200,000 tons of new energy lithium battery anode material precursor project. Baotailong implemented a maintenance plan. The plant will make a start-up plan in mid-to-late September, depending on the market situation.
 
In terms of raw materials, the price of coal tar pitch continued to rise this month, and the cost of coal-measure needle coke enterprises was too high, resulting in a decrease in the overall operating load of coal-measure needle coke enterprises. At the end of the month, the cost of oil-based needle coke enterprises rose again, which has a certain supporting effect on the current price.
 
In terms of downstream side, the operating rate of the graphite electrode market has gradually declined, and some electrode companies have switched to other carbon products. The power cut in Sichuan has led to a decline in the operating rate of steel mills, which has a certain impact on the consumption of graphite electrodes. The graphite electrode market as a whole showed a situation of weak supply and demand in August. At the same time, the price has gradually decreased. By the end of the month, the price of graphite electrodes of UHP600 has been reduced  2,000 yuan/ton to 23,000-24,000 yuan/ton. The traditional "Golden September Silver October" has come, but the electrode market has not shown signs of recovery. The graphite electrode market may have been in a state of weak supply and demand in the fourth quarter, and it is difficult to increase the demand for calcined coke. In terms of anode materials, the market for anode materials was relatively stable this month. The power cut in Sichuan affected the supply of anode materials, which was lower than expected. Battery manufacturers have an apparent attitude towards lowering the prices of anode materials. Although the price of needle coke has been lowered, there is an expectation of price reductions for anode materials. The acceptance of the price of needle coke is still poor, and it is also influenced by the mentality of buying up and not buying down.
 
On the whole, the needle coke market is running weakly and steadily this month, and the price of raw materials is high, which has led to a decrease in the start-up load of needle coke enterprises. The market supply of needle coke in September is expected to decrease accordingly. If there is no sign of improvement in the willingness of downstream enterprises to receive goods, it is expected that the market price of needle coke in September still has room for a slight adjustment.
 
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